Canadian Dollar weakens despite higher oil prices
CAD weak → DXY up, EUR/USD down
// USD release guide
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The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, released monthly with personal income and spending at 8:30 AM ET.
Because the Fed targets PCE directly, surprises feed straight into rate expectations. It usually matters less than CPI because much of it can be estimated in advance.
CAD weak → DXY up, EUR/USD down
Middle East risk → oil supply concerns → MCL up; risk → safe‑haven demand → gold & USD up
Stable dollar strengthens DXY; headline links pound slip to dollar strength
Iran war fears raise oil risk → MCL up; risk‑aversion drops equities & crypto → MNQ/BTC down; USD safe‑haven ↑ → DXY up, EUR/USD down
IEA diesel release → higher fuel supply → oil price down
Heating oil surge → higher crude demand & inflation pressure → MCL up, USD up, equities down